Burn It Down
Posted on October 5, 2008 at 1:13 pmRasmussen reports that most folks would like to just scrap the whole thing and start over when it comes to Congress:
Congress was front and center in the national news last week and the American people were far from impressed. If they could vote to keep or replace the entire Congress, 59% of voters would like to throw them all out and start over again. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that just 17% would vote to keep the current legislators in office.
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New Poll: McCain Still Has Big Lead In Tennessee
Posted on September 29, 2008 at 6:38 amAndy Sher reports:
The Sept. 22-24 poll shows Sen. McCain leading Sen. Obama by 55 percent to 39 percent. Six percent remain undecided. The telephone survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percent.
“McCain’s got a double-digit lead in Tennessee and there doesn’t seem to be any indication that’s going to flip,” said Brad Coker, managing director of the Washington, D.C.-based Mason-Dixon Polling and Research Inc., which conducted the poll for the Chattanooga Times Free Press.
More on the poll here.
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The Informed Vote: Tuke Makes Gains On Alexander
Posted on September 26, 2008 at 2:42 pmThe U.S. Senate campaign of Bob Tuke has released a new poll that reveals that after their pollster gets done telling voters a whole bunch of glowing info about Mr. Tuke, he still loses to Lamar — but only by a little:
Just three percentage points – well within the margin of sampling error – separate Tuke and Alexander in a revote asked after voters hear brief biographical information about Bob Tuke. Tuke garners 43% vote support to Alexander’s 46%. Tuke expands his lead over the incumbent with African-Americans and white Democrats, as well as with liberal and moderate whites. Better still, Tuke gains a lead with independent whites of both genders.
Full Of Numbers And Percentages, Signifying Nothing
Posted on July 19, 2008 at 3:47 pmEd Cromer reports on a poll taken in the 14th State Senate District:
A poll taken June 22-23 for Republican candidate Ken Yager shows him leading Democrat Becky Ruppe in the District 12 senatorial race 35% to 21%. But 48% of voters are undecided. Yager, who was Roane County executive for 24 years, enjoys a name-recognition advantage over Morgan County Executive Ruppe, but most voters don’t know either of them.
The poll found 48% of likely voters favoring John McCain for president, versus 33% for Barack Obama.
The sample size was 300 voters, stratified by county to reflect historical voter turnout. The margin of error is 5.6%. The survey was taken by pollster Wes Anderson.
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Leatherwood Trails Blackburn By 11%
Posted on July 8, 2008 at 5:10 pmTom Leatherwood went to Ethridge and Associates, LLC and got some numbers did up on his race against Congressman Marsha Blackburn:
According to the results of a districtwide poll taken on June 28 and 29, Leatherwood trails 37% to 48% districtwide. This shows a net gain for Leatherwood of 16 points compared to a March survey in which he trailed by 30% to 57%. In Shelby County, where both candidates are well known, Leatherwood leads 55% to 30%, a positive swing of 29 points from the March poll that showed him trailing 40% to 44%.
SEE ALSO:
The full report
Swing State Project
The Strengths And Weaknesses Of The Tennessee Democratic Candidates
Posted on July 2, 2008 at 8:55 amIlissa Gold shares some thoughts on the Democratic Primary for U.S. Senate in the wake of a new poll showing “undecided” in the lead:
It’s a scenario that speaks to both candidates’ strengths, and to their weaknesses. My impartial assessment of this primary is that while Padgett seems to have the more organized ground game, Tuke has the better track record on fundraising. Ideally, you’d have both in a candidate–one who could go to all 95 counties and still have enough money left to take on an incumbent with more than $3 million cash on hand. So honestly, your guess is as good as mine as to who wins this one.
SEE ALSO:
Braisted
Vibinc
Left Wing Cracker
Undecided Wins: A Bob Tuke Internal Poll
Posted on July 1, 2008 at 6:26 pmThe Tuke campaign has just released internal polling in the race for the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate and it shows beyond a shadow of a doubt that the folks that say that no one really cares about this race are right on the money:
My campaign conducted an 800 sample statewide poll last week and it showed that all our hard work is paying off. The most important finding in the poll was about the primary. We asked the following question:
In the Democratic primary for US Senate, the candidates are: Leonard Ladner, Kenneth Eaton, Gary Davis, Mike Clayton, Mike Padgett and Bob Tuke. Which one would you vote for if the election were held today?
Bob Tuke
38%32%
Mike Padgett 8%
Other 4%
Undecided 57%
The poll was conducted by the Global Strategy Group, a polling firm the Tuke campaign notes has been used by Gov. Ned McWherter, Congressman John Tanner and Harold Ford, Jr. The poll was conducted June 24-26 and has a margin of error of 4%.
UPDATE: The VotePadgett response from Campaign Manager Jed Brewer:
“Unlike Bob, Mike has visited with citizens in every county in Tennessee and has seen the big picture. People across Tennessee don’t know Bob Tuke. And he hasn’t been to visit them. Mike has and feels good about the outcome in the only poll that matters. The one on August 7.”
“I find it interesting that this guy used to be head of the state party and in a primary of the people he used to lead, there are still 57% undecided. That sounds to me like Democrats were not too happy with his leadership.”
“38 plus 8 plus 4 is 50 so how are there 57 undecided? If the Tuke campaign is going to release a poll, I’d think the least they can do is get the numbers to add up.”
UPDATE II: Tuke campaign manager Ben Chao corrects the numbers via email blast:
Today’s Tuesdays with Tuke had a typographical error for which I take full responsibility.
Upon seeing the correction email, Padgett Campaign Manager Jed Brewer retracted the third paragraph of his response.
Simper Fi: Tuke Claims Knox County Love In An Online Poll Marketed Statewide
Posted on May 30, 2008 at 3:01 pmOn Wednesday, the Bob Tuke for Senate campaign send out an email to supporters across the state encouraging them to vote in an online poll in “Knoxville.” Today, the campaign revels in their bountiful harvest:
Tuke Has Commanding Lead Over Padgett in Knoxville Views Poll
Bob Tuke — 63%Mike Padgett — 23%
Undecided — 10%
In the first organizing test of the primary campaign, Tuke took an immediate and commanding lead in the Knoxville Views Poll posted on Wednesday. The Tuke campaign is very encouraged by the results since his primary challenger is from Knox County, and served as the Knox County Clerk for 20 years. The results show that Tuke has far more organization than many political onlookers assume, and that Knox County is very much “in play” for Tuke in the August primary.
Now, asserting that any internet poll can definitively claim a specific geographic region is a stretch as it is but considering that both the Tuke campaign and the poll’s sponsor solicited votes from outside Knox County the Tuke campaign claims seem a bit over the top.
In an email to an undisclosed list of Middle and West Tennesseans, the originator of the poll, R. Neal, solicited help from all three Grand Divisions:
Hey, can y’all vote in this poll on the Dem primary for U.S. Senate? Need some votes from Middle and West Tennessee for a better sampling….
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