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Alexander And Corker Want Money Back From Specter

Posted on April 28, 2009 at 3:35 pm

In a statement earlier today on his party switch to the Democrats, Sen. Arlen Specter said he would return any monies donated to his campaign as a Republican upon request.

Sen. Lamar Alexander who just hours ago rebuked Specter for his actions will be taking him up on that offer.

Alexander was one of a group of Senators supporting Specter financially in his expected primary with conservative Pat Toomey. Now that Specter is no longer a Republican, Alexander will be asking for a refund of that money.

“Sen. Specter said he would return contributions made to him in this cycle, upon request. That’s the right thing for him to do, and we will request a refund,” Alexander said in a statement released by staff.

Tennessee’s other Senator, Bob Corker, will also be asking for a rebate on the money he has given the Senator from Pennsylvania. As point of fact, he already has.
When asked if the Senator would be asking for the campaign cash back, Post Politics was provided with a letter sent by Rock City PAC treasurer Kim Kaegi to the Specter campaign.

“[Rock City] PAC solicits funds to support Republican candidates and because Senator Specter in will no longer be running as a Republican in this election, we ask that the contribution be returned as soon as possible,” Kaegi says in the letter.

Specter’s primary challenger-to-be, Pat Toomey, is now expected to win the Republican nomination for Specter’s seat. It is unlikely that Specter will receive much of challenge in the Democratic Party primary although there have been rumblings to that effect.

Ron Paul And Mike Huckabee Combine For 27% In Pennsylvania

Posted on April 23, 2008 at 10:02 am

R. Neal points out some interesting results yesterday from the Republican primary in Pennsylvania:

McCain won with 73% of the vote. Ron Paul Ron Paul Ron Paul got 16%, followed by Chucklebee at 11%.

73% doesn’t seem like a very strong showing by the presumptive nominee and savior of the Bush GOP legacy against two guys who already dropped out.

It sounds like a third party Ron Paul Ron Paul Ron Paul/Mike Huckabee ticket is just what the GOP disaffected need. Democrats would be happy with that scenario, too.

Accuracy In Exit Polling

Posted on April 22, 2008 at 5:04 pm

Josh Marshall on the early Pennsylvania exit polling out there:

As you may have noticed Drudge has up what he says are 5 PM exit poll numbers showing Clinton 52%, Obama 48%. I suspect they are ‘accurate’ as far as early, un-weighted exits can be. But let me point out that my recollection is that pretty much all the early and unweighted exits we’ve seen this cycle have turned out to be wrong. And often very wrong. So this has to be taken with a real grain of salt. And that’s assuming they’re not made up entirely.

Race42008 also urges caution.

MORE EXIT POLLING:
Campaign Spot
Pollster
The Associated Press
CBS
CNN

No Mas Demográficas Ventaja?

Posted on at 12:21 pm

Bruce Barry surveys the lay of the land on the day of the Pennsylvania Democratic primary and makes some predictions:

The real prediction question, of course, is not just what happens tonight, but what happens tomorrow. How big a win tonight is a win? The problem for Clinton is that after Pennsylvania, there are no more Pennsylvanias, which is to say no more big delegate-rich states where she has the built-in demographic edge. The remaining contests—North Carolina and Indiana in two weeks, and then Kentucky, West Virginia, Oregon, South Dakota, Puerto Rico and let’s not forget Guam—are a mixed bag: Obama figures to take NC, OR, and SD; Clinton grabs WV, KY and PR; leaving IN as a tossup. After today, it’s hard to foresee a plausible significant aggregate effect on the spread of delegates or popular votes. Unless Clinton pulls out of nowhere a whopper of a win tonight in the 15-20 point range, giving superdelegates some seriously irritated bowels, what’s her path to the nomination? It may not be over tonight, but I’m thinking it’s over on May 6.

No built in demographic advantages past Pennsylvania for Hillary? What about Puerto Rico? Remember Nevada?

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