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TN Guv Poll: Pretty Much Everyone Still Undecided In Race Thirteen Months Away

Posted on July 14, 2009 at 10:31 am

From the Southern Political Report:

If the election to determine the Democratic nominee for governor were held today and you would likely vote in that primary, who would you vote for?

McWherter (23%)
Herron (13%)
Kyle (6%)
Cammack (5%)
McMilan (3%)
Other (16%)
Undecided (34%)

If the election to determine the Republican nominee for governor was held today and you would likely vote in that primary, who would you vote for?

Wamp (22%)
Haslam (15%)
Ramsey (7%)
Gibbons (4%)
Other (13%)
Undecided (39%)

The poll was conducted July 13 among 604 registered voters in Tennessee, for a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8%. The data have been weighted for age, race and gender. The data for the gubernatorial polls have also been weighted for political affiliation.

(FT: RU)

Comments

21 Responses to “TN Guv Poll: Pretty Much Everyone Still Undecided In Race Thirteen Months Away”

  1. common sense writes
    July 14th, 2009 10:53 am

    I’m frankly shocked that McMillan isn’t polling stronger.

  2. Please Do writes
    July 14th, 2009 10:53 am

    I find it interesting that Other and Undecided combined lead in both races. However in the Democratic race, once the public get to know the candidates more the less they will like McWherter. I do see Herron as the probable leader and I find it hard to believe that McMillan only pulls 3% or that 5% of people actually like Cammack. With such a high margin of error and being so early in the primary battle this poll means much to nothing

  3. Ben writes
    July 14th, 2009 11:41 am

    The Cammack campaign has totally imploded and it beat McMillan. How bad is that? Herron is about as bad as Cammack and he came in second. That surprises me.

    Looks like McWherter’s nomination to lose.

  4. Worm writes
    July 14th, 2009 11:53 am

    I agree this poll doesn’t meant a whole lot. I don’t even know if they asked this of people planning to vote in the dem primary- which I’m guessing not many of the 604 people plan to.

  5. Ben writes
    July 14th, 2009 11:58 am

    The losing campaigns will try to pooh, pooh this poll, but the fact is that it is always best to be in first place. It doesn’t matter if the poll is simply measuring name recognition. There is no campaign that ever wants to be anywhere other than in first in any poll.

    Remember, it is never bad to be in first place.

  6. July 14th, 2009 12:04 pm

    [...] wait…Rating: 0.0/5 (0 votes cast) With thirteen months before the primaries, a new Southern Political Report poll shows Tennessee’s gubernatorial race very much [...]

  7. Bob Davis' Mustache writes
    July 14th, 2009 12:26 pm

    Just jawin’ here but these numbers clearly show my guy’s going to land in 3rd place:

    Aug 15, 2005
    Hilleary: 33% Bryant: 15% Corker: 4%.

    July 20, 2006
    Corker: 37% Bryant: 26% Hilleary: 15%.

    That’s ok cause I talked him into stayin’ in to the end. Gotta mortgage to pay you know. New important title lined up for September 2010 (titles are IMPORTANT!) - Deputy Chairman Emeritus (Thanks Chris! - You the man!)

    Gonna drop a bomberooski on whoever took down my twitter site.

  8. Stacee Campfeeled writes
    July 14th, 2009 12:30 pm

    If you cain’t beat big, hairy Ward Carnack, you are sucking some major . . . well, you be sucking.

    I mean, come on. Carnack ain’t got no $$$$$. His staff is quitting. He voted for George W. Bush twice.

    How’s this eee-diot gonna win a Democratic Primary?????

  9. dan writes
    July 14th, 2009 12:41 pm

    The democrat numbers arent suprising. Barring a meltdown, Ned Ray Jr. will be their nominee. If Herron wins however this election will come to an abrupt halt for the dems twelve and a half months from now just like it did in ‘98. The GOP numbers are surprising though. I dont believe for a second Wamp will win the nomination.

  10. fakecamp4u writes
    July 14th, 2009 1:10 pm

    I am shocked that there is another fake Stacey Campfield. I thought I had the rights.

  11. July 14th, 2009 1:14 pm

    [...] I am shocked that there… [...]

  12. Bob Davis' Intelligent Mustache writes
    July 14th, 2009 2:23 pm

    Only difference there is that Hillary’s support was carryover from a Gubernatorial run. My man is already leading without having run statewide before.

    Nice try though.

  13. No Chance Ron Ramsey writes
    July 14th, 2009 2:25 pm

    HAHAHA 7% for the LT. GOVERNOR!!! Thats ridiculous. Ok so you begin without any statewide support…and you can’t raise money for half of the race. GET OUT and save yourself the hassle…for the love!!!

  14. Donna Locke writes
    July 14th, 2009 2:27 pm

    I’d be happy with a Ramsey, Wamp, or Cammack win. Not overjoyed but cutting the losses.

  15. Ann Smith writes
    July 14th, 2009 2:29 pm

    No kidding. “Other” almost got twice as many votes as our sitting Lt. Governor. That’s surprising to me…also this poll seems fishy because of that high other number and the fact that they did Republicans and Democrats in the same poll.

    That means only 300 or Republicans and Democrats participated…and it doesn’t appear to have been just likely voters.

    Surely Ron Ramsey will not be that far behind Haslam in the next poll…

  16. Donna Locke writes
    July 14th, 2009 2:30 pm

    Gibbons would be okay, too. Maybe more than okay.

  17. FakeHobbs a/k/a Brawndo writes
    July 14th, 2009 2:37 pm

    Yeah, I remember Corker being third place in his GOP primary in 2006. Then the campaign began and we know what happened. Until the ‘10 governor’s campaign begins in earnest, these polls are a mere gauge of name recognition and are useless at this point.

  18. Frankly writes
    July 14th, 2009 5:18 pm

    If this is a reflection of name ID…Ramsey can’t be too pleased.

  19. Bob Davis' Mustache writes
    July 14th, 2009 5:36 pm

    Jawin’ in the PP comments is up 13% since I last dropped by. You know, 13%, like my man Zach is gonna get next August.

    Ain’t no such thing as an Intelligent Stache - it’s 2009, man.

    Hey No Chance, what’s funny is the Lt Guv raised more in 12 days than M.C. Cokehead raised in 6 months. Don’t bother me none.

    We gonna focus on HIGHer ed - a college degree for every Tennessean. Except the Governor of course. Don’t need one. He’s got the stache.

    And the stache is due. Know why? ‘Cause the stache is the only Chairman (remember what I said about titles - they are IMPORTANT) this decade to lose seats. After losin’ Fred ‘08 and screwing up Ira Brody my number has got to come up. ‘Nuff jawin for now, got to call Kiffin and make sure DEPUTY CHAIRMEN EMERITI get free tix (that’s short for tickets - I’m usin’ code baby!)

  20. Grow some hair baldy writes
    July 14th, 2009 10:14 pm

    I will tell you this…the Ramsey campaign is already setting the bar for classless campaign tactics. Sounds about right for a desperate Lt. Governor who has only 7 percet support statewide.

  21. July 15th, 2009 1:57 pm

    [...] (source) [...]

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