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Geography Is Destiny

Posted on January 6, 2009 at 9:41 am

Tom Humphrey examines how the grand divisions of Tennessee might play a role in the GOP primary for Governor:

In a competitive primary this year, it would seem a credible candidate will need at least $3 million, and that could mean an advantage for the person best able to self-finance. That has often been true for candidates besides Corker, including Frist and sitting (and term-limited) Gov. Phil Bredesen.

On the other hand, geography could play a bigger role in the 2010 campaign. If Lt. Gov. Ron Ramsey enters the race later - as many expect - the Republican primary would have three East Tennesseans to split the regional vote.

That, in theory, could help Gibbons of West Tennessee or U.S. Rep. Marsha Blackburn of Middle Tennessee, should she decide to join the fray. Blackburn’s district stretches into the Memphis suburbs.

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