Living In Late 2006: National Progressive Website Gets Guv Race Wrong
Posted on January 5, 2009 at 3:24 pmNo mention of Haslam, overestimation of Wamp and a lack of realization that with no decent candidate on the horizon and the political terrain being what is a Republican is a shoo-in for the office:
How competitive would Wamp be statewide? Quite competitive, one would think, particularly if 2010 favors Republicans more than the last two cycles have done. Wamp is a reliable conservative (and was a rising star in the House, among the rabid conservative faction), so he shouldn’t have base problems. He might lose some of the moderates, though, especially as he’ll have to outwingnut the other folks in a contested GOP primary.
Both of the Democrats being tipped to run are centrists/conservatives - Rep. Lincoln Davis, and former Congressman, Senate candidate and current MSNBC contributor Harold Ford Jr. Of these two, Ford is the further to the left, although he’s certainly no liberal lion - he gets a lot of well-deserved criticism, but it’s likely (and unfortunate) that he will be the liberal option in the Governor’s race.
In a general election against Wamp, both of them would probably have a shot - Ford came very close to winning statewide in 2006 against Bob Corker, Wamp may or may not be a tougher foe. A lot depends on whether Wamp actually wins the primary, how much he has to stretch to the right to do so (and risk losing the center), what kind of political climate 2010 will see (if it’s neutral, that’s OK, but if it goes back to, say, 2002 levels, that’s very bad).
Comments
3 Responses to “Living In Late 2006: National Progressive Website Gets Guv Race Wrong”
If only more people would acknowledge that Haslam is going to be the next Governor and move on, the world would be a much better place
I’m not a Kossack but it bears pointing out that Kos is not a “progressive website” in the sense that there is one blogger controlling the content. It’s a collection of diaries by registered users. So it’s more correct to say that a Kos diarist got the TN governor’s race wrong, not that the entire website got it wrong.
Don’t mean to be pedantic here but just pointing out what makes Kos unique in the blogosphere …
Fools rush in….