Democratic Party After Tonight: Same As It Ever Was

By Kleinheider Posted on May 6, 2008 at 11:44 am

Bruce Barry breaks down the likely outcome of tonight’s Democratic Primary:

I’m going with Clinton 54.2-45.8 in IN and Obama 52.7-47.3 in NC.

In IN, the polls have sent a few mixed signals, but on closer inspection you have to believe that Zogby has it right and everyone else has it wrong to think Obama has much of a chance. Add in the likelihood given IN’s demographics that late deciders will tilt heavily toward Clinton, and it’s hard to see how Obama comes closer than seven or eight.

In NC, Clinton has unquestionably been closing the gap, but I look for Obama to push the steady 50 number he’s been polling up a few points to make it about a five-point win.

End of the night headline: Both claim victory, status quo ante, on to WV. What say you?

SEE ALSO:
R. Neal
Brainstem
Moore Thoughts
Tennessee Ticket 

permalink

Comments